Posted by
on Monday, February 26, 2007 4:03:48 PM
"Who's the biggest threat to McCain?" That is the question presented by Bryan @ Hot Air. Sen. McCain may think it is Mitt Romney, but according to the digging of David Brody, the romney people believe that their man is more of a threat to Sen. McCain than Rudy is. The key 'graphs are at the end of Mr. Brody's piece:
For the campaign staffs of Republican Presidential candidates determined to win in 2008, the Mitt Romney situation is interesting. They must be feeling a little like a kid in a candy shop. For McCain, Brownback, Giuliani and others they have their choice of how to go after Romney: 1994 Romney, 2002 Romney, Romney the Mormon, Romney with the polygamist family background. There's quite a bit to choose from. It seems like the game is on.
The Brody File has received a confidential email circulating within the network of Romney's supporters, not the Romney campaign itself but rather those who support Romney. I thought I'd share it with you. I don't put this up as fact just simply to give you an idea of what's being talked about among his supporters.
"Rumor has it that it's McCain's "opposition research" team that is pushing all this stuff to a more than willing MSM. They love their guy McCain, and they hate anyone with conservative values. The good news is, with each passing week they become more marginalized as people turn more to the blogosphere for more accurate reporting. I think McCain views Mitt as the bigger threat at this point, so he'll keep his Giuliani powder dry for another day."Let the record reflect that The Brody File is not saying this about McCain but Romney's supporters truly believe this. As to what evidence they have, that hasn't been shared...yet. Let's put this in context. For sure, John McCain is determined not to get "swiftboated" again. In 2000, "W" ran attack ads against McCain that helped doom him in the GOP Primaries. McCain has clearly learned his lesson. If you get beat by the best, go get them yourself. He has done that. Read this from the New York Times:
Senator John McCain, intent on succeeding where his freewheeling presidential campaign of 2000 failed, is assembling a team of political bruisers for 2008. And it includes advisers who once sought to skewer him and whose work he has criticized as stepping over the line in the past. In 2000, Mr. McCain, Republican of Arizona, said the advertisements run against him by George W. Bush then the governor of Texas, distorted his record. But he has hired three members of the team that made those commercials — Mark McKinnon, Russell Schriefer and Stuart Stevens — to work on his presidential campaign.
In 2004, Mr. McCain said the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth advertisement asserting that Senator John Kerry of Massachusetts had not properly earned his medals from the Vietnam War was “dishonest and dishonorable.” Nonetheless, he has hired the firm that made the spots, Stevens Reed Curcio & Potholm, which worked on his 2000 campaign, to work for him again this year.
To the untrained eye, Sen. McCain looks as though he is preparing for a very long, very intense campaign. To those of us who watch this sort of activity for a living (or at least part of a living), he is gearing up for a serious, mud-slinging- filled campaign. He disliked being the target of the attack ads in 2000, yet he has hired the same guys who threw that mud at him. He was opposed to the Swift Boat Vets exercising their free speech rights in attacking John Kerry, and yet he has hired the firm that put together their ads.
If anyone is a threat to John McCain, it is himself. He is running for the presidential nomination, which deep down inside--in places he will not discuss with others--he feel he is entitled to the nomination. This is a bitter, personal campaign for him; feeling slighted in 2000 for losing the nomination, and not by anyone's hand but his own. (Voters do not like seeing a potential Commander-in-Chief lose his cool the way he did.)But rather than run on the issues, and question his Republican opponents about how they would be doing things, he is gearing up for the silly-season--that part of the campaign where a candidate will do whatever it takes to win, even casting aside their scruples and decency.
Do not misunderstand the above statement. Politics is a bloodsport, and you should only run if you think you can win, and you pull out all the stops to do so. But people are sick of the same old attacks. The mudslinging in campaigns nowadays are embarrassing. In some instances (such as the Hillary-Obama blow-up from last week) it seems like we are watching a replay of the Hatfields and the McCoys, just without the shooting. Mitt Romney is indeed a threat to Sen. McCain. The question is how much of a threat is he right now? Sen. McCain seems to be going after a man who is trying to stay out of the corner from all the media intensity. Of course, Sen. McCain did say his base was the media, and while that may seem to be a joke to him, it is glaringly apparent that Sen. McCain is reaping the benefits of the MSM attack machine. Who needs Oppo-Research when the media is doing it for you?
And I think the reason why Sen. McCain is not taking on Rudy right now is because in comaprison, his numbers are in the johnny-flusher compared to the former mayor. Additionally, Rudy is appealing to conservatives of every stripe; even the solid ones who question his social issues, but have said they support him regardless. That has got to chap the hide of John McCain. What will hurt him more than he knows is that the base has little faith in him. We have been burned by him so many times I doubt Sen. McCain could make enough amends to bring them back. Thomas and I live in Arizona which is Sen. McCain's home state. We know of NO ONE who is supporting him for president. The Republicans/conservatives we talk to daily, communicate through e-mails, and especially the bloggers in Arizona are not supporting him. They stand with us in believing that Sen. McCain would be a poor choice for the 2008 nomination.
And despite what his handlers are telling him, he has no chance against Hillary. Let us face cold hard facts, ladies and gentlemen, barring a serious gaffe on her part, Hillary will get the nomination. (The smarter move for the Democrats would be to give Gov. Bill Richardson the nomination. As governor, he has had to make decisions, as opposed to Hillary.) But we are not giving too many kudos to smart Democrats right now. The last one we did stand up and applaud was Joe Lieberman. Should this race be a choice between Hillary and John McCain, she will be sworn in come 2009. The base will simply not support John McCain.
If John McCain wants to know who his worst enemy is in this race, he had better take a good look in the mirror. The answer will stare him in the face.
Marcie